Visual Justice: Racial Representation in Mugshot Coverage of U.S. Crime News
with Elliott Ash, Sergio Galletta, and Benjamin Kohler
Abstract
This paper studies the visual representation of crime in U.S. news and whether policies aimed at protecting the identity of arrested individuals affect crime reporting. We assemble 3.46 million crime articles published by 1,848 outlets between 2015 and 2024 and measure their images with a face-level pipeline that detects mugshots, infers race, and links the same individual across articles. Benchmarking against FBI arrest records, we show that Black arrestees are over-represented in mugshot coverage relative to their share of arrests, and the gap is concentrated in high-volume, low-severity offenses such as DUI and drug crimes, where publishing any given booking photograph is discretionary. We then exploit staggered state restrictions on mugshot disclosure in a difference-in-differences design. The bans reduce mugshot publication by about a third and compress the over-representation of Black arrestees where it was largest. Next, we investigate whether crime reporting also adjusts to the removal of mugshots. Using the same design, we show that outlets replace booking photographs with other images, cover fewer arrests and more investigations, and also write about crime differently. Finally, we provide preliminary evidence that reducing mugshot use affects crime perceptions by reducing the salience of crime.
What's in a Name? The Effect of Judge-Defendant Name Similarity in Sentencing
with Elliott Ash
Abstract
This paper investigates how social proximity between judges and defendants influences sentencing outcomes in Wisconsin criminal courts. Moving beyond race and gender, we use name similarity as a novel measure of shared social background. We construct FastText embeddings of defendants appearing in more than 1 million cases (2005–2021) using defendants from the same street as context, and compute cosine similarity between their name vectors and those of their assigned judges. Leveraging the random assignment of judges to cases within courts, we find that higher judge-defendant name similarity reduces the probability of incarceration and sentence length, suggesting that social background similarity plays a meaningful role in explaining heterogeneity in sentencing outcomes. To investigate whether these differences are driven by taste-based or statistical discrimination, we propose a model of judicial decision-making that incorporates taste-based preferences and information about the defendants’ risk of re-offending. Assuming that the precision of information signals increases with both judicial experience and similarity to the defendant, the model predicts that judges will be more responsive to defendants’ recidivism risk in these scenarios. We test this hypothesis using a machine learning-predicted measure of defendants’ recidivism risk, and we show that more experienced judges and those judging defendants with higher name similarity respond more to recidivism risk signals.